HFC Haarlem vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
TEL
1 - 3
HFC
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1999 |
HFC
0 - 1
VVV
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1999 |
HFC
3 - 3
HEL
29%
26%
45%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
GRO
6 - 0
HFC
75%
16%
8%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
FCD
0 - 2
HFC
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
HER
2 - 2
TEL
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1998 |
HER
0 - 2
GAE
25%
24%
51%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1998 |
VOL
2 - 0
HER
71%
18%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
EXC
4 - 1
HER
68%
19%
14%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1998 |
HER
0 - 3
FCO
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |