HFC Haarlem vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
51.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2003 |
BVV
2 - 0
HFC
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2003 |
BVO
3 - 1
HFC
50%
24%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2003 |
EIN
2 - 3
HFC
54%
23%
22%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2003 |
HFC
1 - 3
EXC
21%
23%
56%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2003 |
HER
4 - 0
HFC
74%
16%
10%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
GRA
2 - 1
BOS
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2003 |
MVV
0 - 4
GRA
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2003 |
GRA
4 - 0
BVV
68%
19%
14%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2003 |
BVO
1 - 0
GRA
33%
26%
42%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2003 |
EIN
0 - 0
GRA
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |