HFC Haarlem vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1977 |
NEC
1 - 2
HFC
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1977 |
HFC
2 - 0
RJC
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
AMS
1 - 0
HFC
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
HFC
0 - 3
FEY
18%
23%
59%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
GAE
2 - 1
HFC
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
GRA
0 - 0
AZA
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1977 |
GRA
2 - 0
EIN
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1977 |
NEC
0 - 0
GRA
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
GRA
2 - 2
RJC
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
AMS
2 - 1
GRA
59%
23%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |