HFC Haarlem vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
HFC
1 - 3
MVV
41%
26%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2005 |
GAE
3 - 0
HFC
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2005 |
BOS
2 - 0
HFC
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2005 |
HFC
0 - 0
EXC
27%
25%
49%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
HFC
0 - 4
EIN
38%
25%
37%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 3
TWE
19%
23%
59%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2005 |
FOR
2 - 3
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2005 |
HEL
3 - 0
FOR
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
FOR
0 - 2
FCE
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
BVO
2 - 2
FOR
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |