HFC Haarlem vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
15.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
SVV
0 - 0
HFC
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
HFC
0 - 2
SPA
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
GAE
2 - 1
HFC
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
ADO
0 - 0
HFC
69%
18%
14%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
HFC
1 - 1
TEL
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
SPA
2 - 0
GRO
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
VVD
2 - 0
GRO
50%
27%
24%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
GAE
1 - 1
GRO
74%
18%
8%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
GRO
0 - 0
TWE
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
MVV
2 - 0
GRO
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |