HFC Haarlem vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
51.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2005 |
HFC
1 - 1
FCD
44%
27%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2005 |
FCE
1 - 0
HFC
54%
23%
22%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2005 |
HFC
1 - 0
HEL
22%
24%
54%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2005 |
GAE
2 - 1
HFC
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
FOR
0 - 1
HFC
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2005 |
EXC
2 - 1
FCE
60%
21%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2005 |
FCO
2 - 4
EXC
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 2
VOL
52%
23%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 0
FCD
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 2
HEL
47%
24%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |