HFC Haarlem vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2003 |
HER
4 - 0
HFC
74%
16%
10%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2003 |
HFC
1 - 0
FCO
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
TEL
2 - 1
HFC
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2003 |
HFC
1 - 1
APE
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
VVV
1 - 0
HFC
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2003 |
EXC
0 - 0
BOS
43%
24%
33%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2003 |
GRA
2 - 1
EXC
41%
24%
35%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2003 |
EXC
2 - 0
BVV
76%
15%
9%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2003 |
EXC
0 - 2
SPA
63%
20%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2003 |
BVO
0 - 2
EXC
28%
24%
48%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |