HFC Haarlem vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
HFC
5 - 1
FCD
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
HFC
3 - 2
VVV
29%
27%
45%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
BOS
2 - 0
HFC
73%
18%
9%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
HFC
1 - 2
RBC
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1997 |
GAE
3 - 0
HFC
76%
16%
9%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
BVV
1 - 0
EXC
62%
22%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1997 |
BVO
4 - 2
EXC
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1997 |
HEL
2 - 2
EXC
62%
20%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1997 |
FCO
0 - 1
EXC
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1997 |
ADO
4 - 1
EXC
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |