HFC Haarlem vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
12.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
SPA
0 - 0
HFC
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
HFC
3 - 1
MVV
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
ADO
1 - 1
HFC
63%
23%
14%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
HFC
1 - 4
AJA
16%
25%
59%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1975 |
HFC
3 - 2
WAG
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
EXC
2 - 2
UTR
34%
29%
38%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
GAE
4 - 0
EXC
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
EXC
0 - 1
FEY
11%
20%
69%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
RJC
4 - 2
EXC
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1975 |
GRA
2 - 0
EXC
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |