HFC Haarlem vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
MVV
2 - 0
HFC
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
HFC
0 - 4
SPA
18%
24%
58%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
EXC
0 - 1
HFC
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
HFC
0 - 0
ADO
19%
23%
58%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
BOS
0 - 0
HFC
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
AZA
2 - 2
UTR
28%
28%
43%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
AZA
2 - 1
MVV
34%
31%
35%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
SPA
4 - 1
AZA
84%
11%
5%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
AZA
3 - 1
EXC
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
ADO
4 - 0
AZA
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |