HFC Haarlem vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
58.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1974 |
PSV
1 - 1
HFC
81%
13%
6%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
HFC
0 - 2
UTR
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
GAE
1 - 0
HFC
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1974 |
AZA
2 - 0
HFC
54%
27%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
HFC
0 - 1
FEY
13%
21%
66%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
AJA
2 - 0
AZA
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
FEY
2 - 2
AJA
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
AJA
3 - 0
NAC
91%
7%
3%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1974 |
TWE
0 - 0
AJA
49%
25%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
AJA
2 - 1
NEC
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |