Gzira United vs Santa Lucía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gzira United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
BIR
3 - 2
GZI
43%
27%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
HAM
2 - 1
GZI
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
GZI
2 - 4
MAR
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MOS
0 - 3
GZI
42%
26%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
GZI
1 - 1
VAL
51%
24%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Lucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SLU
1 - 3
HAM
14%
23%
63%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
SLU
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SLU
1 - 0
MOS
14%
21%
65%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
SLU
67%
21%
12%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SLU
0 - 1
SLI
18%
25%
57%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |