Gzira United vs Naxxar Lions FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gzira United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 0
GZI
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
GZI
0 - 4
HIB
47%
24%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
GZI
0 - 2
VKP
31%
24%
46%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
VKP
4 - 0
GZI
64%
20%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
F91
2 - 1
GZI
51%
22%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Naxxar Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
NAX
0 - 4
HAM
18%
25%
57%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
5 - 1
NAX
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
NAX
1 - 7
SLU
51%
22%
26%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
NAX
1 - 3
SIR
42%
24%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
MOS
3 - 3
NAX
67%
18%
15%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |