Gzira United vs Hamrun Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
28.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gzira United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
SLI
2 - 1
GZI
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
GZI
3 - 1
NAX
62%
22%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
GZI
2 - 2
MOS
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
SEN
1 - 1
GZI
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
GZI
1 - 2
BAL
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
LIJ
1 - 5
HAM
36%
24%
40%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
HAM
0 - 0
VAL
24%
25%
51%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
HAM
2 - 0
NAX
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2017 |
SLI
1 - 0
HAM
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
SEN
1 - 3
HAM
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |