Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 3-3
Gzira United vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
49.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gzira United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
GZI
0 - 2
VAL
39%
24%
36%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
PIE
1 - 2
GZI
15%
22%
63%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
SAI
1 - 0
GZI
15%
24%
61%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
MOS
1 - 1
GZI
19%
25%
56%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2019 |
GZI
1 - 0
FLO
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2019 |
HKS
1 - 1
ZOR
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
HKS
1 - 2
SLA
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
ALU
1 - 0
HKS
17%
22%
61%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
HKS
2 - 1
KRS
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2019 |
SOL
1 - 4
HKS
8%
16%
77%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |