Q. Europa League 1ra Ronda Final
Global 3-2
Györ ETO vs Zestafoni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Györ ETO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2008 |
DIO
1 - 3
GYO
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
GYO
2 - 1
VAS
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2008 |
UJP
1 - 3
GYO
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
GYO
2 - 2
BUD
51%
24%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
PAK
2 - 1
GYO
38%
26%
35%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Zestafoni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2008 |
ZES
3 - 1
FCA
53%
25%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2008 |
ZES
2 - 1
FCA
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
DBA
0 - 0
ZES
21%
28%
51%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
ZES
1 - 0
DTB
51%
24%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
ZES
0 - 1
DTB
49%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |