Gyeongju HNP vs Changwon City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gyeongju HNP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
GIM
1 - 0
GYE
38%
26%
37%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
CHE
2 - 1
GYE
30%
28%
42%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
DAE
1 - 3
GYE
27%
28%
46%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
GYE
1 - 0
SEO
44%
25%
32%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
GYE
2 - 1
GAN
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Changwon City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 2
BUS
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 1
MOK
29%
27%
45%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 0
CHA
61%
23%
17%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 1
DAE
31%
26%
42%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 1
GAN
34%
26%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |