Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory vs Stal Brzeg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
3º
10º
7º
37
5º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
WRO
1 - 1
GTG
84%
11%
5%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GTG
0 - 0
RAK
15%
21%
64%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GOR
5 - 1
GTG
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GTG
1 - 1
MKC
61%
20%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KLU
1 - 2
GTG
46%
22%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Stal Brzeg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
STB
1 - 4
REK
9%
16%
75%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GOR
1 - 1
STB
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
STB
3 - 1
LKS
32%
23%
45%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PAW
3 - 1
STB
72%
17%
12%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
STB
0 - 2
CAR
47%
22%
31%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -2 |