Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory vs Rakow Czestochowa II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
63.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
3º
10º
7º
65
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GOR
5 - 1
GTG
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GTG
1 - 1
MKC
61%
20%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KLU
1 - 2
GTG
46%
22%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
REK
4 - 2
GTG
76%
16%
9%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
GTG
1 - 2
GOR
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Rakow Czestochowa II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
RAK
1 - 1
REK
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GOR
1 - 2
RAK
12%
21%
67%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
RAK
0 - 0
LKS
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PAW
1 - 1
RAK
23%
24%
54%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
RAK
1 - 0
CAR
82%
13%
5%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | +1 |