Europa League 1/16
Global 2-3
Gwardia Warszawa vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
57%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gwardia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1973 |
GWA
0 - 0
TSP
60%
25%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1973 |
WAR
1 - 0
GWA
57%
25%
17%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1973 |
GWA
3 - 1
ODR
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1973 |
FEY
3 - 1
GWA
86%
11%
4%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1973 |
RCH
3 - 2
GWA
61%
24%
15%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
RJC
0 - 3
FEY
11%
15%
74%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
FEY
3 - 3
ADO
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1973 |
FEY
3 - 1
GWA
86%
11%
4%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
TEL
3 - 2
FEY
13%
21%
66%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
FEY
4 - 0
SPA
66%
19%
15%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |