Europa League 1/32
Global 3-1
Gwardia Warszawa vs Ferencvárosi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gwardia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1973 |
GWA
0 - 0
ZAG
58%
26%
17%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
FTC
0 - 1
GWA
83%
11%
6%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1973 |
STA
2 - 1
GWA
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1973 |
GWA
0 - 0
LPO
56%
24%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1973 |
SLA
0 - 2
GWA
50%
28%
22%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
FTC
0 - 1
GWA
83%
11%
6%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
SPA
4 - 1
FTC
55%
22%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1972 |
FTC
2 - 0
SPA
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
FTC
6 - 0
FLO
91%
6%
3%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
FLO
1 - 0
FTC
9%
18%
73%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | -1 |