Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 1-3
Gwardia Warszawa vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gwardia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1969 |
DUN
2 - 1
GWA
69%
17%
13%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1969 |
GWA
4 - 1
WAR
50%
21%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1969 |
WIS
1 - 0
GWA
65%
18%
18%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1969 |
ZAG
2 - 3
GWA
55%
21%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1969 |
GWA
4 - 1
ODR
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1969 |
DUN
4 - 2
AIR
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1969 |
DUN
1 - 1
DUN
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1969 |
DUN
2 - 1
GWA
69%
17%
13%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1969 |
DUN
2 - 1
ABE
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1969 |
GLA
2 - 0
DUN
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |