Gwardia Koszalin vs Gryf Tczew analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gwardia Koszalin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
KDP
1 - 0
GWA
23%
23%
55%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
GWA
1 - 0
PBP
41%
24%
35%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
BYT
1 - 0
GWA
70%
18%
12%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
CHP
2 - 0
GWA
43%
25%
32%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
GWA
3 - 4
STA
28%
23%
49%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Gryf Tczew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
GTP
3 - 1
LEC
20%
23%
57%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
GTP
0 - 1
PBP
20%
23%
58%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
GTP
1 - 4
STA
14%
19%
67%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | -1 |