FA Cup Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Gwangju FC vs Ulsan HD FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gwangju FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GAN
3 - 2
GWA
46%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
JEO
0 - 1
GWA
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GWA
1 - 0
SUW
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
DAE
0 - 1
GWA
41%
27%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
GWA
3 - 2
SEO
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ulsan HD FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ULS
1 - 2
SUW
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ULS
1 - 0
DAE
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
JEJ
1 - 0
ULS
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
JEO
2 - 0
ULS
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
ULS
1 - 0
INC
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |