Gwangju FC vs Jeju United analysis

Gwangju FC Jeju United
76 ELO 75
-2.4% Tilt 3.8%
688º General ELO ranking 707º
Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
43.3%
Gwangju FC
26.8%
Draw
29.9%
Jeju United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
Gwangju FC
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.9%
Win probability
Jeju United
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Gwangju FC
Their league position
Jeju United
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
10º
23
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ulsan HD FC
39
57
32%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
40
57
21%
Pohang Steelers
37
55
20.5%
Gangwon FC
34
52
17%
Suwon FC
34
52
16.5%
FC Seoul
27
45
23.5%
Gwangju FC
25
43
23.5%
Jeju United
23
39
20.5%
Incheon United
21
36
10.5%
Daegu FC
10º
20
36
10º
20.5%
Daejeon Citizen
11º
18
36
11º
19%
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
12º
16
34
12º
32.5%
Expected probabilities
Gwangju FC
Jeju United
Play-offs for the title
35.5% 15.5%
Relegation play-offs
64.5% 84.5%

ELO progression

Gwangju FC
Jeju United
FC Seoul
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
Gangwon FC
Ulsan HD FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gwangju FC
Gwangju FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jun. 2024
SUW
Suwon FC
1 - 0
Gwangju FC
GWA
50%
23%
26%
75 75 0 0
22 Jun. 2024
DCI
Daejeon Citizen
2 - 1
Gwangju FC
GWA
42%
26%
32%
75 75 0 0
19 Jun. 2024
BUC
Bucheon FC 1995
2 - 3
Gwangju FC
GWA
25%
24%
52%
76 66 10 -1
15 Jun. 2024
GWA
Gwangju FC
2 - 0
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
SAN
40%
26%
34%
75 75 0 +1
02 Jun. 2024
FCS
FC Seoul
1 - 2
Gwangju FC
GWA
43%
26%
31%
75 75 0 0

Matches

Jeju United
Jeju United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jun. 2024
JEJ
Jeju United
1 - 0
Incheon United
INC
42%
26%
32%
75 75 0 0
23 Jun. 2024
JEJ
Jeju United
2 - 3
Ulsan HD FC
ULS
42%
26%
31%
75 75 0 0
19 Jun. 2024
DCI
Daejeon Citizen
0 - 0
Jeju United
JEJ
47%
25%
28%
75 75 0 0
16 Jun. 2024
DAE
Daegu FC
1 - 0
Jeju United
JEJ
41%
27%
32%
75 75 0 0
02 Jun. 2024
JEJ
Jeju United
1 - 2
Gangwon FC
GAN
44%
27%
30%
75 75 0 0
X