Gwangju FC vs Incheon United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
10º
7º
31
4º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 58 |
1º
|
74.5% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 55 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 54 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 52 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 50 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 48 |
6º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 44 |
7º
|
75% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 38 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 37 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
57% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
13% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
87% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gwangju FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
ULS
0 - 1
GWA
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
GAN
2 - 0
GWA
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
GWA
2 - 1
JEJ
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
SUW
1 - 0
GWA
50%
23%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
DCI
2 - 1
GWA
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
DAE
0 - 0
INC
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
INC
1 - 1
SAN
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
INC
0 - 1
GAN
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
JEJ
1 - 0
INC
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
INC
1 - 3
POH
36%
28%
35%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |