Gwangju FC vs Incheon United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
10º
7º
32
4º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gwangju FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
ULS
0 - 1
GWA
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
GAN
2 - 0
GWA
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
GWA
2 - 1
JEJ
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
SUW
1 - 0
GWA
50%
23%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
DCI
2 - 1
GWA
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
DAE
0 - 0
INC
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
INC
1 - 1
SAN
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
INC
0 - 1
GAN
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
JEJ
1 - 0
INC
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
INC
1 - 3
POH
36%
28%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |