Gwangju FC vs Incheon United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
32.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
10º
7º
32
4º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 59 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 57 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 53 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
29% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
51% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
82.5% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 39 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
40% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gwangju FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
GWA
1 - 2
DAE
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
POH
1 - 0
GWA
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
GWA
4 - 2
GAN
43%
28%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
GWA
2 - 0
FCS
40%
27%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
GWA
0 - 0
POH
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
INC
2 - 0
DCI
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ULS
3 - 3
INC
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 0
INC
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
INC
0 - 1
SUW
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
KAY
1 - 3
INC
6%
13%
81%
|
75 | 33 | 42 | 0 |