Gwangju FC vs Incheon United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
32.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
2º
5º
5º
56
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 9 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 8 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 8 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 5 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gwangju FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
GWA
1 - 0
ULS
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GWA
1 - 0
GAN
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
JEJ
1 - 2
GWA
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
GWA
0 - 1
JEO
44%
27%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 1
GWA
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
INC
0 - 2
SHA
32%
26%
43%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
POH
1 - 1
INC
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ULS
0 - 0
INC
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
INC
4 - 0
KAY
83%
14%
3%
|
78 | 34 | 44 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
INC
2 - 0
SUW
42%
28%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |