Gwangju FC vs Incheon United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
32.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
2º
5º
5º
56
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 9 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 8 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 8 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 5 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gwangju FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
GWA
1 - 0
ULS
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GWA
1 - 0
GAN
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
JEJ
1 - 2
GWA
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
GWA
0 - 1
JEO
44%
27%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 1
GWA
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
INC
0 - 2
SHA
32%
26%
43%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
POH
1 - 1
INC
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ULS
0 - 0
INC
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
INC
4 - 0
KAY
83%
14%
3%
|
77 | 33 | 44 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
INC
2 - 0
SUW
42%
28%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |