Gwangju FC vs Incheon United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gwangju FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2011 |
GWA
1 - 2
SUW
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
GAN
0 - 1
GWA
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
GWA
1 - 2
ULS
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
GYE
1 - 0
GWA
49%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 3
GWA
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2011 |
INC
2 - 1
YON
88%
9%
3%
|
76 | 24 | 52 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
INC
0 - 0
BUS
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
SEO
1 - 1
INC
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
DCI
1 - 2
INC
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
POH
4 - 1
INC
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |