Gwangju FC vs Busan I Park analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
13.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gwangju FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
GYE
1 - 2
GWA
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
GWA
2 - 1
KOR
69%
21%
11%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
BUC
2 - 0
GWA
15%
24%
61%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
GWA
2 - 1
ELA
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
ANG
0 - 2
GWA
15%
23%
62%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Busan I Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
KOR
1 - 0
BUS
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
BUS
2 - 0
GIM
51%
26%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
BUS
0 - 2
CDR
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
FCA
1 - 0
BUS
53%
25%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
BUS
0 - 1
BUC
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |