Gwangju FC vs Busan I Park analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gwangju FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SEO
1 - 3
GWA
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
POH
5 - 1
GWA
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
GWA
2 - 2
JEJ
45%
27%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
GWA
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
GWA
0 - 2
GYE
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Busan I Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FCS
2 - 1
BUS
50%
24%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
BUS
1 - 0
DCI
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
BUS
2 - 3
JEO
45%
25%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CDR
1 - 1
BUS
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
BUS
1 - 0
INC
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |