GW Firrel vs BW Papenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
63.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GW Firrel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
VNO
1 - 3
GWF
89%
8%
3%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SVB
2 - 0
GWF
90%
7%
3%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
GWF
2 - 2
BAR
12%
16%
72%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SCH
4 - 1
GWF
48%
21%
31%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
GWM
1 - 1
GWF
34%
22%
44%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
BW Papenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
BWP
5 - 2
GWM
82%
12%
7%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
BSV
3 - 0
BWP
68%
17%
15%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
BWP
3 - 1
TWA
84%
10%
5%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SCM
0 - 2
BWP
39%
22%
39%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
BWP
3 - 0
SVB
65%
18%
17%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |