GVVV vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GVVV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
ARC
2 - 2
GVV
17%
20%
63%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
KAT
3 - 1
GVV
48%
24%
29%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
GVV
1 - 3
CAP
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
NOO
4 - 1
GVV
38%
24%
38%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 2
GVV
27%
23%
50%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 3
KAT
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CAP
0 - 1
EXC
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
EXC
4 - 1
GEN
34%
25%
42%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
HHC
0 - 2
EXC
48%
25%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
EXC
4 - 2
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |