Gutiérrez vs Unión Villa Krause analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gutiérrez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2016 |
MAI
1 - 1
GUT
37%
28%
35%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
GUT
1 - 0
MAI
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
GUT
1 - 1
SPB
25%
29%
46%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
GIM
2 - 1
GUT
64%
23%
13%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 0
GUT
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Villa Krause
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
SPB
34%
29%
38%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
GIM
0 - 2
UNI
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
MAI
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 0
GUT
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SPB
0 - 0
UNI
67%
21%
12%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |