Gutiérrez vs Ciudad De Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
51.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
10º
1º
32
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gutiérrez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
GUT
2 - 2
JUU
28%
29%
43%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
DCM
0 - 0
GUT
50%
26%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
GUT
1 - 0
SMA
34%
28%
38%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CDA
1 - 0
GUT
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FER
1 - 2
GUT
50%
26%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ciudad De Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
CSE
1 - 1
CIB
22%
27%
51%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CIB
1 - 0
ATE
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
HHE
2 - 1
CIB
22%
28%
50%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CIB
3 - 0
FER
69%
20%
11%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
CIB
1 - 0
JUU
51%
27%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |