Gutersloh vs Gievenbeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
11.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
1º
14º
1º
36
2º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gutersloh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GUT
4 - 1
TUS
37%
22%
41%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SFB
2 - 1
GUT
25%
22%
54%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GUT
0 - 3
PRE
61%
20%
20%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 2
GUT
22%
23%
55%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
GUT
0 - 3
S04
3%
10%
87%
|
32 | 76 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Gievenbeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GIE
4 - 1
SFB
38%
22%
40%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PRE
3 - 0
GIE
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GIE
0 - 0
SCH
50%
21%
29%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ASC
0 - 0
GIE
68%
17%
15%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
GIE
1 - 1
SPO
46%
22%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |