Gutersloh vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
64.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gutersloh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
GEW
4 - 2
GUT
63%
21%
17%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
GUT
0 - 1
WHE
26%
24%
50%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ESS
2 - 1
GUT
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
GUT
1 - 0
VEL
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
GUT
1 - 3
SWE
45%
25%
31%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
ABI
3 - 1
KÖL
25%
25%
50%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
BSC
1 - 0
KÖL
28%
25%
47%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
DSC
1 - 5
KÖL
15%
21%
64%
|
55 | 28 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
HUL
1 - 2
KÖL
15%
22%
64%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
KÖL
1 - 0
VEL
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 26 | 29 | 0 |