Gutersloh vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
38.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
11º
18º
18º
5
6º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
14 | 67 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 62 |
2º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 60 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 59 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 56 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 56 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 53 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 53 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 52 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 43 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 43 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 39 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 36 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 36 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 35 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 35 |
16º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
5 | 34 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
|
11º
|
7 | 28 |
18º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gutersloh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
PAD
1 - 2
GUT
59%
22%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GUT
3 - 0
SVE
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ROT
3 - 2
GUT
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GUT
2 - 2
TDO
36%
24%
40%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KFC
2 - 0
GUT
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 4
SPO
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 1
MEE
54%
22%
25%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
MSV
2 - 2
FOR
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 2
WUP
23%
23%
55%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BOR
2 - 1
FOR
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |