Gute vs Viggbyholms analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
34.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
12º
3º
33
4º
14º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 60 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 53 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
|
3º
|
34 | 44 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 40 |
4º
|
49% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 35 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 35 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 35 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 34 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 34 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 33 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 28 |
11º
|
33% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 27 |
12º
|
28.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 26 |
13º
|
29% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 17 |
14º
|
98% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SKI
3 - 2
GUT
42%
22%
36%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
GUT
1 - 1
FRA
67%
17%
16%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
ENK
3 - 1
GUT
37%
22%
41%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ASS
4 - 1
GUT
79%
13%
8%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VIK
3 - 0
GUT
33%
22%
45%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Viggbyholms
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
VIK
1 - 1
FCA
36%
22%
43%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
FOF
2 - 5
VIK
63%
18%
19%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
VIK
0 - 3
OST
37%
22%
41%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VIK
3 - 0
GUT
33%
22%
45%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +3 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 0
VIK
62%
18%
19%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |