Güssing vs Forchtenstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
29.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Güssing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
STM
4 - 2
GUS
50%
22%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
PUR
1 - 2
GUS
64%
20%
16%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
GUS
1 - 1
NEU
37%
25%
38%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
GUS
1 - 1
JEN
33%
24%
44%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
NEU
3 - 1
GUS
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Forchtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 3
MAR
26%
22%
52%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
STM
2 - 3
FOR
61%
20%
19%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
5 - 3
DRA
33%
23%
44%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
STI
3 - 1
FOR
62%
20%
18%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 1
OBE
24%
23%
52%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |