Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 2-2
Gurupi vs Plácido de Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 0
GUR
45%
26%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
5 - 0
GUR
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -3 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
GUR
2 - 1
SAL
27%
26%
47%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
YAP
0 - 1
GUR
44%
26%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2013 |
GUR
1 - 0
PAR
37%
25%
39%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Plácido de Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 0
GUR
45%
26%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 0
PLA
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 2
NAC
34%
26%
40%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
NAU
1 - 2
PLA
35%
24%
41%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 0
GEN
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | +1 |