Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 1-4
Gurupi vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
62.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2010 |
GUR
3 - 1
ARA
62%
22%
17%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
ARA
1 - 0
GUR
57%
23%
20%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
GUR
1 - 1
ARA
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
TOC
2 - 3
GUR
39%
24%
36%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
GUR
1 - 0
INT
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
IRA
1 - 0
PAR
34%
25%
40%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 2
OPE
66%
20%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ATP
5 - 1
PAR
71%
18%
10%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
ACP
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 2
CIA
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |