Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 2-3
Gurupi vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
71.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
INT
0 - 2
GUR
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
GUR
0 - 0
GUA
70%
17%
12%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
GUR
0 - 2
TOC
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
GUR
3 - 0
CEC
65%
19%
16%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 0
GUR
14%
21%
65%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | -2 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
AMF
1 - 4
CRZ
23%
24%
53%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
AME
1 - 3
AMF
13%
18%
69%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
AMF
4 - 0
GUA
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ATM
5 - 2
AMF
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
AMF
1 - 1
NEC
81%
13%
6%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |