Gurten vs Weiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+68%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
4º
14º
4º
31
10º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
VOC
2 - 1
GUR
18%
24%
59%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
GUR
2 - 1
DLB
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ANN
1 - 1
GUR
25%
24%
50%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
GUR
3 - 0
KLA
81%
14%
5%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
NEU
0 - 0
GUR
19%
24%
57%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Weiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
WEI
0 - 5
LBN
18%
22%
60%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
TBG
4 - 1
WEI
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
WEI
1 - 2
HER
20%
23%
58%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
GDF
1 - 2
WEI
60%
20%
19%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
WEI
1 - 4
LJU
12%
18%
70%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |