Gurten vs Treibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
2º
9º
5º
7
8º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 70 |
1º
|
82.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 60 |
2º
|
48.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 50 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 49 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 46 |
5º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 46 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 46 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 45 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 39 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 39 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 39 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 38 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 37 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 29 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
7 | 23 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 20 |
16º
|
51.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 45% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 55% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
GUR
0 - 1
VOC
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
HER
1 - 0
GUR
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
NEU
4 - 0
GUR
23%
25%
52%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
GUR
2 - 0
VOR
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
GDF
0 - 5
GUR
21%
24%
55%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
TRE
4 - 0
SVW
48%
21%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
LBN
5 - 2
TRE
80%
15%
5%
|
35 | 66 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
TRE
3 - 1
ANN
22%
22%
56%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +3 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
OED
5 - 0
TRE
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 2
WAC
23%
22%
55%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |