Gurten vs Sturm Graz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
STA
3 - 1
GUR
29%
22%
49%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
GUR
0 - 0
SVL
23%
24%
53%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
GUR
2 - 2
LJU
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
VOR
3 - 1
GUR
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
GUR
2 - 1
ALL
32%
24%
44%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2018 |
STU
2 - 2
LJU
26%
24%
50%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
VOR
3 - 1
STU
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
STU
2 - 1
ALL
24%
23%
53%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
WAC
1 - 0
STU
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
WEI
4 - 2
STU
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |