Gurten vs Sierning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
5.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
WEL
0 - 3
GUR
33%
24%
43%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
GUR
1 - 0
BAD
82%
12%
6%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 2
GUR
14%
20%
66%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
GUR
1 - 2
EFE
82%
12%
6%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
BAD
1 - 4
GUR
16%
21%
63%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Sierning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
BAD
1 - 2
SIE
58%
21%
21%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SIE
2 - 3
EFE
45%
24%
31%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
GMU
0 - 2
SIE
58%
22%
21%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
SIE
2 - 1
BAD
26%
23%
51%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
GRU
3 - 0
SIE
62%
21%
17%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |