Gurten vs Grieskirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
10.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BAD
0 - 1
GUR
19%
21%
60%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
GUR
4 - 0
STM
70%
18%
13%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
GRU
4 - 4
GUR
25%
23%
52%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
GUR
1 - 0
NEU
81%
13%
6%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
SVF
2 - 0
GUR
14%
20%
66%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | -2 |
Matches
Grieskirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
GRI
1 - 0
STM
49%
22%
29%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 0
GRI
35%
23%
41%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
GRI
1 - 0
SIE
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
BAD
2 - 2
GRI
33%
23%
45%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
GRI
3 - 0
EFE
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |