Gurten vs Eferding analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
5.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
BAD
1 - 4
GUR
16%
21%
63%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
GUR
2 - 1
GMU
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
GRI
3 - 0
GUR
20%
21%
58%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
GUR
2 - 3
BAD
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
STM
2 - 0
GUR
17%
21%
62%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | -3 |
Matches
Eferding
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
GMU
0 - 2
EFE
64%
19%
17%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
EFE
0 - 3
BAD
41%
23%
37%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
GRU
1 - 2
EFE
61%
21%
18%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
EFE
1 - 0
SVF
44%
23%
33%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
DON
0 - 0
EFE
74%
16%
10%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |