Gurten vs Bad Goisern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
GMU
1 - 1
GUR
17%
20%
63%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
GUR
0 - 1
GRI
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BAD
0 - 1
GUR
19%
21%
60%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
GUR
4 - 0
STM
70%
18%
13%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
GRU
4 - 4
GUR
25%
23%
52%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bad Goisern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
BAD
2 - 1
GRI
35%
23%
41%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
STM
0 - 2
BAD
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BAD
3 - 2
NEU
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 2
BAD
63%
20%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SIE
3 - 0
BAD
47%
24%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |